Reception Perception: A Video Rundown of the Data
By: Matt Harmon
March 29th, 2015
March 29th, 2015
Every day, I seem to have both new and old readers ask me to further explain a piece, or two, of Reception Perception data. I recognize not everyone has the time to engage in long back and forth's on Twitter to get answers, or just want the numbers and not to read a long post. For those people, I recorded a brief video where I take you through all information given and tracked in the Reception Perception methodology:
Now, if you do not wish to watch a video of me talking to myself (understandable) and do prefer text, here's an explanation of each Reception Perception data point in written list form:
- SRVC against zone
- SRVC against press
- SRVC against double coverage
- SRVC on each type of route run
Thank you for your support of Reception Perception. If you are new, make sure to become familiar with the upcoming publication, and follow the #ReceptionPerception hashtag on Twitter to keep up with all future featured receivers (including draft prospects).
- Sample size - Eight games (must play at least 20 snaps) of an NFL season (smaller samples for college prospects). The four best, and four worst statistical games are included to create a usable, and fair assessment base of a receiver's performance.
- Route Percentage – how frequently a receiver runs each pattern on the route tree. A route only "qualifies" if the sampled receiver could have realistically caught a pass on it. Example: plays where a receiver runs down the field while the quarterback throws a pass on a screen immediately to a teammate do not count as routes in Reception Perception. They are thrown out, and do not affect any totals or scores.
- Success Rate vs. Coverage (SRVC) scores – how often a receiver got open against the defenders covering him. A success is charted when a receiver "gets open" against the coverage. Creating separation, enough for the quarterback to have a reasonable target for the quarterback, is marked as a success. The only plays that are automatically given as success to the receiver are instances where a receiver is obviously held or interfered with (called or not). These plays make a big difference to an offense, and signify a receiver winning yards for his team by forcing the defensive back to hold him. There are five formats for SRVC scores:
- SRVC against zone
- SRVC against press
- SRVC against double coverage
- SRVC on each type of route run
- Alignment Data – charting where a receiver lined up on each snap (slot, outside right, outside left or in the backfield), and whether they were on the line of scrimmage or not. This helps give a quantifiable picture of what receiver position the play is often used in (slot, X-receiver, flanker).
- PPR Fantasy Points on each route (PTS) – this helps shed light on just how a receiver is amassing their production.
- Target Data – fairly self-explanatory, but not just targets, receptions and catch rate. Reception Perception tracks how many times a receiver was targeted per route run, and how many routes they caught a pass on. This shows true involvement in the offense.
- Contested catch conversion rate - how often a receiver comes down with a pass in a contested situation.
- In space and tackle breaking measurements - how often a player catches a pass "in space" (in the open field with a chance to break a tackle. This is presented in both number of attempts, and percentage of routes, to glean how often a receiver truly is put "in space" by his coaching staff. The frequency of plays where a receiver is dropped on first contact, plays with one broken tackle, and plays with two or more broken tackles are charted.
Thank you for your support of Reception Perception. If you are new, make sure to become familiar with the upcoming publication, and follow the #ReceptionPerception hashtag on Twitter to keep up with all future featured receivers (including draft prospects).
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